![]() Dateimanager schaffen Übersicht im Datendschungel - doch. Damit greifen Sie unkompliziert auf Laufwerke im Heimnetzwerk zu. The fallacy is commonly associated with gambling, where it may be believed, for example, that the next dice roll is more than usually likely to be six because there have recently been fewer than the usual number of sixes. Wir zeigen, wie Sie Admin-Freigaben unter Windows 10 und 8.1 einrichten. Such events, having the quality of historical independence, are referred to as statistically independent. ![]() The gambler's fallacy, also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy or the fallacy of the maturity of chances, is the incorrect belief that, if a particular event occurs more frequently than normal during the past, it is less likely to happen in the future (or vice versa), when it has otherwise been established that the probability of such events does not depend on what has happened in the past. ![]() So they predict gloom and doom, for no other reason than Apple's recent string of successes. People see all this money pouring in, and they think it has to end someday. It's the same thing with Apple's profits. You can look up on wikipedia the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" which says that people will think a change is "due" so if, in roulette, for example, the colour red comes up 10 or 20 times in a row, people will bet lots of money that it will come up black on the next roll, even though history does not affect the future when it comes to games of chance.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |